Though the national news this week has been filled with reports of late snow and winter storms up north, on Sanibel and Captiva Islands the weather again has been almost summerlike, including a couple of midweek showers.
Here at SanibelSquare the bunny population continues to explode. I haven’t been able to get to my phone quickly enough to get a photo of the entire group at once. Usually when I am leaving in the office in the evening, I am the last car out of the parking lot. That’s when they are out chowing down on the grassy area in front of my car.
I’ve seen as many as six together (three grown-ups and three small ones). They sure are cute. I’m featuring a few photos of them in my Easter ad next week in the “Island Sun”.
SanibelSusan’s Real Estate Market Predictions
An island homeowner who lives in Gumbo Limbo dropped in at the office recently and asked about the real estate market. He often bikes his neighborhood and was surprised to see so many “for sale” signs.
Gumbo Limbo probably offers a good market representation. Today, there are 13 homes for sale there. In a community with fewer than 200 properties, to the passer-by, that may seem alike a lot for sale at once. Looking at the community’s sales history, in 2017, 12 Gumbo Limbo homes sold. Last year, only six, plus a vacant lot. Year-to-date one home has sold and closed, while two other homes and our lot listing are under contract.
Do these numbers reflect that inventory is up and are prices down? Yes, inventory is up and prices may be trending down, but it probably is too soon to make that prediction. I prefer to view the status of the market today as a correction to the downturn caused by the water quality issues of last summer.
When I stopped on my way home midweek to view the progress at our bayfront listing that is undergoing renovation, I couldn’t help but take a couple of pictures of the water in San Carlos Bay (see below). Unlike its appearance last fall, it was as beautiful as I remember seeing it, in all my 30-some years here. You know the look, sparkling clear and bright teal in color, like often photographed in the Caribbean.


Inventory is up because there have been fewer sales. Fewer visitors came to the island this winter. Traffic reports about causeway traffic indicate that fewer cars came onto the island last month which usually is the busiest month here. Late 2018 traffic was off even more. I’ll never forget the times last year that I drove across the causeway and did not see a vehicle (on land or water) or a person or bird in any direction. It was eerie.
The good news is that from that catastrophe, more positive “water” things are happening, more people are involved, more water solutions are in the works, more money is being allocated to fund solutions, and construction is underway on others. Unfortunately, the results of those efforts take time to implement. Seems that the good news takes longer to disseminate than the bad news – which seems to spread fast!
Perhaps some would-be first-time island winter visitors this year decided to vacation elsewhere. Can’t blame them for that, if they don’t really know what the beaches and waterways really are like. Future rental bookings with many income-producing properties are showing less income this year too.
What will happen to the islands’ real estate market in the upcoming months? That’s tough to predict. Often there are buyers that return in the spring who are folks that vacationed here in the winter but could not view all the listings that met their requirements. This year there are plenty of choices for those returning prospects.
In the spring, do these buyers sometimes try to negotiate better terms thinking sellers may not want to hold a property over the slower summer selling season which also is hurricane-prone rainy season? I’m sure you know the answer to that.
Some folks think the economy and political unrest are affecting the market today. They may be true to some extent, but I think that island lovers will continue to see the value in owning a piece of paradise where winter weather is tropical, development is controlled, island ambience is like stepping back in time, and concerned citizens are pro-environment and taking action to protect the areas we live in, work in, and love.
Some also say that the upcoming Federal elections in 2020 will affect real estate sales here. It could be that the islands are immune to that hype. Historical data does not support that elections affect sales, other than maybe the few days around and including the actual voting day.
My crystal ball says that provided there are no national emergencies or hurricanes, the Sanibel and Captiva market will continue to rebound from the downturn of last year. Yes, it’s a good time to buy because there is plenty of good inventory, but it also is a good time for sellers, particularly those that have their properties priced right.
Upcoming Holiday Happenings
In response to inquiries about events over the holiday next weekend, here is a summary:
Helping Those Needing a Hand-Up
F.I.S.H. of Sanibel-Captiva is assembling Easter food and bunny baskets for those in the community needing a hand-up during the holiday. To donate items, please call 239-472-4775. Distributions will be on April 17 & 18.
Family Events
“25th Annual Spring Festival” to benefit The Children’s Center of the Island at Sanibel Community Park, across the street form SanibelSusan Realty, Saturday, April 20 from 9 to 11 a.m. with Easter egg hunt for children of all ages followed by pony & unicorn rides, face painting, slide, games/crafts, & more. The Easter bunny will be there for photos at 10:15 a.m.- “Community Easter Egg Hunt” at Sanibel Community Church, Saturday, April 20 from 11 a.m. to 1 p.m. includes thousands of eggs, pony rides, games, bounce houses, face painting, lunch, & more.
- “Annual Easter Egg Hunt & Dolphin Cruise” by Adventures in Paradise aboard 45’ power catamaran departing at 9 a.m. Easter Sunday from Port Sanibel Marina, reservations needed 239-472-8443.

Sanibel Farmers Market – open Easter Sunday 8 a.m. to 1 p.m. on the grounds of City Hall.
Easter Sunday Services
- “Annual Sunrise Celebration on the Beach” by Sanibel Community Church on Causeway Island A at dawn. More info at www.SanibelChurch.com
- Also, services at the church (Sanibel Community Church) at 8, 9, & 11 a.m.
- Captiva’s Chapel by the Sea at 11 a.m. More info at www.CaptivaChapel.com
- Sanibel Congregational United Church of Christ services at 7:45, 9, & 11 a.m.
- Saint Isabel Catholic Church services at 7, 9, & 11 a.m.
- St. Michaels & All Angels Episcopal Church services at 7:30, 9:30, & 11:30 a.m.
Easter Eats
- “Easter on the Gulf” at Sundial Beach Resort with seating on the hour from 10 a.m. to 4 p.m. Call for reservations 239-395-6017.
- “Sunday Brunch Buffet” at The Fish House Restaurant from 9 a.m. to 2 p.m.
- “Easter Dinner” at Traditions on the Beach from 4 p.m., reservations recommended 239-472-4559
Recession Fears “Over Blown”
Posted Wednesday on FloridaRealtors® on-line, this article has an interesting perspective on how past recessions affect home values.
“GREENSBORO, N.C. – Apr 10, 2019 – Research on how past recessions affected home values shows current conditions – including a shortfall in housing construction – likely mean the next recession will have a less severe impact on housing than the recession in 2008 did, according to the spring edition of The Housing and Mortgage Market Review (HaMMR) by Arch Mortgage Insurance Company.
“Housing market trends are now nearly the complete opposite of conditions in the months prior to the Great Recession, according to Dr. Ralph G. DeFranco, global chief economist for Arch Capital Services. “A recession is inevitable at some point, but it’s likely to be far less severe for the housing market than the Great Recession,” DeFranco says. “We estimate that the current market is underbuilt by 1 million or more homes, buyers are more cautious and loan quality is far higher. In 2007, conditions were completely flipped: housing was hugely overbuilt, speculative demand was off the charts and the market was awash with high-risk loan products.”
“DeFranco also notes that home prices were overvalued by 25% or more then and are closer to expected values now. “In the 11 recessions recorded over the past 80 years, major price declines for housing have been more the exception than the rule, with home values only turning negative once in the five recessions since 1975,” he says. “The ongoing housing shortage is likely to limit price declines in a recession to 0-5% for a year or two before home values start to recover.”
“The quarterly Arch MI Risk Index, a statistical model based on nine indicators of the health of local housing markets, suggests that the probability U.S. home prices will be lower in two years is 9%, an increase from 6% in the previous HaMMR.
“In Florida, an Arch index infographic suggests that Florida home values have only a 6% chance of declining in two years. However, a higher risk (25%) in Miami suggests the chances are even lower in the rest of the state.
Nationally, the overall risk of a decline in home prices remains better than the historic average of 17%. Every state is expected to have positive home price growth over the next two years, continuing recent trends.
“The states with the highest risk of lower home prices in two years are North Dakota (27%), Alaska (24%), Wyoming (23%) and Connecticut and West Virginia, both at 22%.
“Among the 100 largest metros, the areas with the highest risk of having lower home prices in two years are Miami and San Antonio, Texas (25%), because of overvalued home prices. Those areas are followed by three metros in Connecticut – Bridgeport-Stamford, Hartford and New Haven (all at 22%) – which have shrinking populations of homebuyers and a state economy that lags behind the nation.”
Sanibel & Captiva Islands Multiple Listing Service Activity April 5-12, 2019
Sanibel
CONDOS
6 new listings: Seashells #15 2/2 $439K, Captains Walk #F4 2/2 $349K (our listing) (exterior photo below – professional interior photos & streaming video coming after estate sale next week), Mariner Pointe #952 1/1 $429K, Sanibel Siesta #601 2/2 $689K, Sanctuary Golf Villages I #1-4 3/3 $899K, Gulf Beach #107 2/2 $925K.
9 price changes: Donax Village #10 1/2 now $339K, Sundial #I103 1/1 now $465.9K, Breakers West #A5 2/2 now $499.9K, Sunset South #1A 2/2 now $720K, Sanibel Moorings #1111 2/2 now $969K, Kings Crown #102 2/2 now $1.05M, Bandy Beach #B101 3/2 now $1.299M, White Pelican #133 3/3 now $1.595M, Sandals #A 3/3.5 now $1.997M.
1 new sale: Gulfside Place #305 2/2 listed at $1.249M.
3 closed sales: Sunset South #9B 2/2 $565K, Sand Pointe #228 2/2 $740K, Pine Cove #204 3/2 $1.5M.
HOMES
13 new listings: 785 Rabbit Rd 3/2 $479K; 745 Martha’s Ln 3/2 $495K; 9406 Beverly Ln 3/2 $629K; 1585 Bunting Ln 3/2 $649K; 1731 Serenity Ln 4/3 $699,999; 1175 Sand Castle Rd 3/3 $759K; 728 Windlass Way 3/2 $897K; 788 Nerita St 3/3 $949K; 845 Birdie View Pt 3/3 $1.169M; 1667 Venus Dr 3/2 $1.2M; 4156 West Gulf Dr 3/2 $1.329M; 2190 Starfish Ln 3/3 $1.444M; 1718 Jewel Box Dr 4/4.5 $2.699M.
17 price changes: 3017 Turtle Gait Ln 3/2 now $679K; 198 Southwinds Dr 3/2 now $719.9K; 280 Southwinds Dr 3/3.5 now $739K; 1559 Sand Castle Rd 3/2 now $759K; 702 Durion Ct 3/2 now $759K; 513 Lake Murex Cir 3/2 now $769K; 686 East Rocks Dr 3/2 now $799K; 1410 Albatross Rd 3/3 now $849K; 1307 Par View Dr 3/3 now $899K; 446 Surf Sound Ct 3/2 now $999,999; 466 Sea Oats Dr 4/3.5 now $1.149M; 829 Birdie View Pt 4/3.5 now $1.15M; 430 Glory Cir 4/5.5 now $1.275M; 1525 San Carlos Bay Dr 4/2 now $1.4695M; 6425 Pine Ave 4/3 now $1.489M; 1035 Blue Heron Dr 3/2 now $1.539M; 4143 West Gulf Dr 3/3.5 now $5.995M.
9 new sales: 6141 Henderson Rd 2/1.5 listed at $424.5K, 1870 Farm Trl 3/2 listed at $575K, 1442 Sand Castle Rd 3/2 listed at $649K, 750 Martha’s Ln 3/2 listed at $699K, 1217 Par View Dr 3/3 listed at $729K; 4791 Rue Helene 3/2 listed at $850K, 1550 Sand Castle Rd 3/3 listed at $1.189M, 2282 Wulfert Rd 4/4.5 listed at $1.245M, 599 Lake Murex Cir 3/3.5 listed at $1.399M.
4 closed sales: 9248 Dimmick Dr 3/3 $580K, 1438 Causey Ct 3/2 $849.5K, 1260 Par View Dr 3/3 $889K, 569 Lighthouse Way 3/3 $970K.
LOTS
2 new listings: 2462 Wulfert Rd $229K, 2133 Starfish Ln $419K.
2 price changes: 6411 Pine Ave now $329K, 1219 Par View Dr now $349K.
2 new sales: 1204 Par View Dr listed at $329K; 5321 Punta Caloosa Ct listed at $377,555.
No closed sales.
Captiva
CONDOS
No new listings.
1 price change: Sunset Captiva #103 2/2 now $829K.
No new, or closed sales.
HOMES
No new listings or price changes.
1 new sale: 16798/802 Captiva Dr 4/4 listed at $5.75M.
No closed sales.
LOTS
Nothing to report.
This representation is based in part on data supplied by the Sanibel & Captiva Islands Association of Realtors® Multiple Listing Service. Neither the association nor its MLS guarantees or is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Data maintained by the association or its MLS may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. The information provided represents the general real estate activity in the community and does not imply that SanibelSusan Realty Associates is participating or participated in these transactions.
Until next Friday… enjoy your weekend, Susan Andrews aka SanibelSusan

At the Sanibel & Captiva Islands Association of Realtors® Caravan meeting yesterday, a handful of new sales were announced, along with more price reductions. Just nine new west-end listings open for viewing. The east-end one week, west-end the next, Caravan rotation will end this month with new listings in any location allowed beginning May 1 and running through the summer.
The Sanibel Historical Village will remain open during the ongoing BIG ARTS construction project. The project will continue through the remainder of the historical village’s season and into next season, with parking and access available for village guests and volunteers.
The Sanibel Historical Village is open Tuesdays through Saturdays from 10 a.m. to 4 p.m. with guided tours at 10:30 a.m. and 1:30 p.m. The village is at 950 Dunlop Road (next to BIG ARTS) and there is handicap access to the buildings. Admission is $10 for adults over 18, with members and children free. For more info or to donate, visit
Posted this week on FloridaRealtors® and sourced to the “Wall Street Journal” (04/01/19):
19th Annual SanCap Cares Celebration – Sunday, April 7, at The Sanctuary, to benefit Golisano Children’s Hospital of Southwest Florida. More info at
“Octifest” on the Beach – Sanibel Sea School Fundraiser, Saturday, April 13, beginning at 6:30 p.m. at Sanibel Causeway Island A. Tickets at 

P.S. I had lunch today at Malia (located on Par View Drive within Beachview Country Club Estates, next to Sanibel Island Golf Club). Also had dinner there last weekend. Both meals were excellent. If you haven’t been & enjoyed a “poke bowl”, you are missing out. Those are only available at lunch or you can create your own at their sister establishment Spoondrift Bowls in The Bailey’s Shopping Center. Healthy yummy zippy crunchy!
It’s SanibelSusan with the week’s real estate update. As the end of “high season” approaches and with continued price reductions, it has become a great time to buy. Now that it’s almost the end of first quarter, below are sales statistics followed by some recent articles about real estate and the economy.
The below are article was posted on Florida Realtors® Wednesday and sourced to Freddie Mac. Today, Florida Realtors® also posted that mortgage rates just made their biggest drop in a decade.
Sanibel School Seahorse Festival 2019


“While FEMA released few specific details about the new program, it appears to downplay the role of flood zones in determining a home’s cost of coverage in favor of other variables, such as the distance from a potential flooding source rather than an all-or-nothing “in a flood zone” or “not in a flood zone” test.
Tomorrow, Saturday, March 23, Annual Open House at Sanibel’s Fire House Station 171 from 10 a.m. to 2 p.m. with fire apparatus and equipment on display. Great time for children and families to interact with firefighters, get on trucks, and experience a fire smoke simulation. There will be Sanibel Police Department, County Sheriff’s SWAT Team, and LCEC vehicles there too, as well as booths with info/animals from CROW, Ding Darling, and a local animal shelter.
New at Bailey’s Center – Spoondrift Bowls – Opened by same family that opened Malia Restaurant in Beachview Estates a few months ago, Spoondrift Bowls started at the Farmer’s Market and now is open Monday through Saturday from 11 a.m. to 6 p.m. at Bailey’s Center. The bowls are healthy and can be create-your-own with a variety of protein, base, topping, sauce, and finish options. Or you can select a predesigned combination or daily special. They also offer healthy homemade desserts and beverages. (
I attended this event on Tuesday night at The Community House. It was great to see a huge turnout including mayors from Cape Coral, Bonita Springs, and Fort Myers. Introduced by Fort Myers Mayor Randy Henderson, followed by Lee County Sheriff Carmine Marceno, and Former Sanibel Mayor Marty Harrity, they offered insight into the experience and praised the accomplishments of Mayor Ruane, particularly in the areas of finance and water quality. The new Chairman of the South Florida Water Management District, Chauncey Goss, was at the event too. (During his first meeting, the contract was signed to construct the C43 Reservoir. It will take four years to complete but will be usable after two.) All positive steps in the right direction, having these champions representing islanders is important. Please give them your support too.

Families on spring break are on Sanibel – or at least those wanting an environmentally-fun outdoor vacation with fabulous weather. Traffic is challenging with the City encouraging no unnecessary travel from 3 to 7 p.m. That’s what happens in “peak” season. The City traffic app showing the cameras at the intersections helps us plan our routes which always includes turning “right”, not left.
The team and I got our Friday work done early this week to give me time to run home and change for our BIG ARTS Community Chorus Spring Concerts. Singers were/are required to be on-stage for pre-performance warm-ups at 6 p.m. and with the traffic being iffy, extra time was anticipated. It took me 45 minutes last night at 5 p.m. to drive the 3 miles from my east-end home to get back to BIG ARTS. Hopefully, it will be easier tonight. Last night’s performance was a sell-out!
These concerts were early this year because the buildings at the BIG ARTS campus on Dunlop Road will be coming down in just a few weeks when the construction project for the new facility begins. Next year, when the new performance hall is complete, the entire chorus will fit on the stage and the audience will enjoy more comfy seating.
In West Palm Beach yesterday, at the first meeting of this new board, they chose their new leaders to fulfill the District’s flood control, water quality projects, environmental restoration and water supply missions. The new board elected Sanibel’s-own Chauncey Goss as their Chairman. That is great for the 8.1 million residents of South Florida. Congratulations, Chauncey!
The Bailey-Matthews National Shell Museum has announced that their shell identification app now is available. Many members of the local shell club including SanibelSusan helped for several months with the beta version as the shell library was compiled.
“The study broke Florida down into five distinct housing markets.
“The MoU establishes the parties’ cooperation in developing a mutually beneficial relationship in the general field of real estate, building a foundation for future business opportunities.
There was a nice checklist in the spring issue of the “IWA Pipeline. Here’s the abbreviated version for keeping your water secure when you are away.


The 82nd Annual Sanibel-Captiva Shell Festival is going on at the Community House this week. It runs until 5 p.m. today and then is open again tomorrow Saturday 3/9 from 9 a.m. to 4 p.m.
Next weekend is the 36th Annual Sanibel-Captiva Lions Club Fine Arts & Crafts Fair, Friday 3/15 from 9 a.m. to 5 p.m. & Saturday 3/16 from 9 a.m. to 4 p.m.
Next Saturday 3/16 also is the 18th Annual Peek at the Unique house tour event. Tickets available through
My favorite economist, Lawrence Yun, had a lead article in the March-April issue of “Realtor®” magazine that arrived this week. Here it is:



Yesterday, the Federal Aviation Administration issued a temporary flight restriction (TFR) for VIP movement from March 1 at 1:15 p.m. to March 3 at 3:30 p.m., which spans three nautical miles in Lee County and covers Southwest Florida Intentional Airport. Minus exceptions, aircrafts are prohibited in the area.


“I never really understood how this now commonplace industry got its start until I read “Time to Share”….The idea is so logical that one wonders why it wasn’t thought of until well along into the twentieth century. Enter Trowbridge, a Canadian by birth but a long-time American by love of country.
In addition to the President’s Cup award, the Sanibel & Captiva Islands Association of Realtors® also, for the second year in a row, was named an RPAC Triple Crown winner in Florida for its fundraising and advocacy efforts. Just 24 states had associations that were Triple Crown winners last year, with 26 other associations in Florida also named Triple Crowns.
The Sanibel & Captiva Islands Association of Realtors® still has just one member who has achieved Realtor® Hall of Fame status. That’s SanibelSusan, inducted in 2016. I still haven’t made it back to DC to see my plaque on the rooftop terrace at the National Association of Realtors® building at 500 New Jersey Ave NW.


Here in the office, SanibelSusan listings had some action this week, with a sale, a price reduction, a new listing, and a home inspection.
This morning, the following report was released by the Florida Gulf Coast MLS:
With Florida being a full-disclosure state, Sellers and their representatives are required by Florida law to disclose defects that may materially affect the value of the real estate being sold. With many island properties owned by snowbirds, part-time visitors, and investors, in recent years it has been common to see Sanibel and Captiva property sold using the Florida Realtors® “As Is” contract.
An important update sponsored by the Sanibel-Captiva Conservation Foundation is scheduled next week. Here’s their announcement:





With wonderful weather expected right through the 3-day weekend (sunny with day-time temperatures in the mid-to-high 70°s F), the island should be packed.
Tomorrow, Feb 16: 10 a.m. to 5 p.m. – Annual Sanibel-Captiva Rotary Arts & Crafts Fair, at the Community House, across the street from our office.
Also, from 8 a.m. to 1 p.m. – Sanibel Island Farmers Market on the grounds of City Hall at 800 Dunlop Rd. There has been some confusion this winter about Farmers Market parking. With construction complete at the Sanibel Library, parking under the Library is now available, while the outside Library parking lot is designated Handicap Parking. Other lots available for general parking are at City Hall, BIG ARTS, and Herb Strauss Theater.
One of the announcements at our Realtor® Caravan Meeting yesterday was by fellow Realtor Sarah Ashton, who is serving this year as Vice President of the “Ding” Darling Wildlife Society – Friends of the Refuge (DDWS).
As posted on DDWS’s website: “DDWS has been working for several years behind the scenes to partner with funding sources and private donors toward the acquisition. As a result, on November 6, 2018, the Lee County Board of Commissioners voted in favor of exploring the acquisition and has asked county staff to pursue the possibility. DDWS also is looking into state funding and grants from the BP Horizon Spill as other alternative funding sources toward the remaining $6.5 million needed.
It also was announced this week that the first of the island’s annual prescribed burns could begin soon. Representatives from the National Park Service, Florida Forest Service, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission, and Sanibel-Captiva Conservation Foundation, as well as Sanibel’s Natural Resource Department, police, and fire, work cooperatively in these efforts.
Here’s hoping you enjoy your Presidents’ Day weekend! It’s a great time to buy on the island favored by our current Vice President! Please contact SanibelSusan if The SanibelSusan Team may help you!
With continued good weather in the forecast, more folks are arriving all the time.
There was a big turnout yesterday at the local Sanibel & Captiva Islands Realtors® Thursday morning Caravan Meeting. The week’s activity in the Multiple Listing Service is posted after a few news items below.
From an article in this week’s “Sanibel-Captiva Islander”:
Now that it’s February, the schedule of island events is staggering. BIG ARTS often has sold-out performances, while the classes, beach walks, conservation talks, current events discussions, recreation and fitness opportunities, lessons, games, arts, and crafts go on and on. Many island fund-raising and annual meetings happen this time of the year too, so be sure and check the events tab above for links to some of them.
When I attend our state leadership team meetings in Orlando and talk to other colleagues around the state, they often ask if we are seeing an increase in Asian buyers on the islands. That answer has always been “no”, but recent real estate news from other areas indicates that those buyers are purchasing more and more in the U.S.
