It has been another fairly quiet week on the islands, but plenty of pre-season work is evident everywhere. I heard the first reports yesterday of business picking up with winter vacation rentals. That activity usually means temperatures are dropping up north and folks are starting to plan their winter getaways. The first snow bird returned on my street this week too. Those who homestead most likely will be back early, to vote.
Just a handful of sales and new listings were announced at our Realtor Caravan Meeting yesterday, but attendance was up – another indicator that “season” is just around the corner. Elise’s report below the MLS activity this week. Lisa and Dave were out previewing new inventory yesterday and I am working on the class I will be teaching at the Association Office next week on the Resort and 2nd-Home Market as part of the Sanibel & Captiva Islands Specialist Designation. Quite a few Realtors®, including some well-experienced ones, are signed up so I am digging deep. Should be fun!
Another Sign That Home Prices Have Hit Bottom
“For the last three years, home prices have usually risen in the spring and summer to only then lose all of those increases—plus more—in the fall and winter months. However, economists expect this year to be different and do not foresee such a big drop to occur to home prices in the colder months ahead, The Wall Street Journal reports. While the fall months likely will bring out some sort of decrease in recent home price increases, “we have a much better supply and demand dynamic” than in previous years, Mark Fleming, CoreLogic’s chief economist, told The Wall Street Journal. Home prices have posted some of their largest year-over-year jumps compared to the last six years.
“According to CoreLogic, home prices have risen 9.6% from February, which was the month prices reached their lowest levels since the housing slowdown. Economists say it’s unlikely that, given recent indicators, home prices will reverse course steeply and fall 9.6% or even more in the coming months. Home prices haven’t dropped by that type of percentage since the economy was in a recession.”
Americans Keep Feeling Better About Housing
An article posted on Florida Realtors® on Tuesday says: “Consumer sentiment regarding the housing market continues its modestly positive trend, according to Fannie Mae’s August 2012 National Housing Survey.
“Americans maintained a cautious but improving outlook on the housing market and homeownership. In August, more people said it’s a good time to sell, and more expect housing prices to rise over the next year. However, Fannie Mae says stalling household financial expectations and declining economic optimism likely mean the housing market recovery rate will remain tempered. “Consumer attitudes toward the housing market remain modestly positive, despite signs of increased concern over the direction of the economy,” says Doug Duncan, senior vice president and chief economist of Fannie Mae.
“Survey respondents expect home prices to increase 1.6% in the next year, on average, down slightly from the high of 2.0% in June. The number of respondents who expect home prices to decline totaled 11% – the lowest level since the survey began in June 2010. Eighteen percent say it’s a good time to sell, marking the highest level since the survey’s inception. Regarding mortgage rates, 40% expect a rise in the next 12 months, an increase of 4% points over July.
“Meanwhile, the survey showed increasing consumer pessimism about the direction of the overall economy. The number of respondents who believe the economy is headed in the wrong direction ticked up 2% points to 60%, the third consecutive rise and the highest reading since January. Those who expect their financial situation to worsen dipped to 13%, while those expecting their situation to remain the same increased modestly to 41%.”
Upcoming Island Events
Sept 15 – Tomorrow is the 27th Annual Coastal Cleanup “Keep Lee County Beautiful”. Be at the SCCF (Sanibel-Captiva Conservation Foundation) Nature Center at 3333 Sanibel-Captiva Road at 9 a.m. to participate.
Oct 6 – Annual Blue Ribbon Golf Classic fundraiser for The Sanibel School at The Sanctuary Golf Club. The Sanibel School has earned the Blue Ribbon Designation, as well as an “A” rating, for the past 11 years.
Oct 13 – FISH (Friends in Service of Sanibel) have announced open registration for the 4th annual 10K Race 4 FISH to take place on Saturday, October 13. The event is a major fundraiser for FISH with more than 400 runners are expected this year. www.fishofsanibel.com/fish-10k
Oct 15-Dec 1 – BIG ARTS World of Fashion Exhibit www.BIGARTS.org
Sanibel City Budget
Last Saturday, Sanibel City Council worked at a special session to further reduce a budget that is almost $10M less than last year’s and about $19M less than was actually spent. City taxes account for about 16% of a property owner’s total tax bill.
A few highlights of the tentative budget according to the “Island Sun” include:
- · “Proposed millage of 2.1398 is 53% less than the rolled-back rate.
- · “City salaries remain flat for the 5th consecutive year.
- · “Full-time employees reduced from 142 in 2007 to 114 in FY13.”
2012 TRIM Notices
Today is the last day to appeal Lee County 2012 tax assessments. They are available on-line at www.leepa.org.
Sanibel and Captiva Multiple Listing Service Activity September 7-14
4 new listings: Island Beach Club #P1E 2/2 $649K, Coquina Beach #2E 2/2 $675K, Sandpiper Beach #404 2/2 $695K, Pointe Santo #B25 2/2 $785K.
1 price change: Colonnades #47 1/1 now $130K (our listing).
4 new sales: Blind Pass #B102 2/2 listed for $359K, Sanibel Arms West #K3 2/2 listed for $399K, Loggerhead Cay #232 2/2 listed for $498.7K, Pointe Santo #C43 3/2 listed for $949K (our buyer).
1 closed sale: Sundial #G107 1/1 $215K.
1 new listing: 3344 Twin Lakes Ln 3/2 $629,977.
6 price changes: 1121 Skiff Pl 3/2 now $589K; 445 East Gulf Dr 3/2 now $609K; 2540 Coconut Dr 4/3.5 now $772K; 6001 Clam Bayou Ln 3/2 now $875K; 848 Limpet Dr 3/2.5 now $1,199,999; 2899 Wulfert Rd 4/4/2 now $2.898M.
5 new sales: 1647 Sand Castle Rd 3/2.5 half-duplex listed for $325K, 1000 Greenwood Ct 3/2.5 half-duplex listed for $347.5K, 1211 Periwinkle Way 3/2 listed for $349.9K, 1753 Bunting Ln 3/2 listed for $479.8K, 3825 West Gulf Dr 3/2 listed for $2.35M.
3 closed sales: 731 Nerita St 3/2 $475K, 1232 Isabel Dr 3/3 $1.85M, 615 Lighthouse Way 3/4.5 $2.1M.
1 new listing: 3761 Coquina Dr $350K.
No price changes, new or closed sales.
Nothing to report.
No new listings.
1 price change: 17201 Captiva Dr 4/5.5 now $4.1M.
1 new sale: 11516 Andy Rosse Ln 5/5 listed for $1.999M.
1 closed sale: 53 Sandpiper Ct 2/2.5 $590K.
Nothing to report.
This representation is based in whole or in part on data supplied by the Sanibel & Captiva Islands Association of Realtors or its Multiple Listing Service. Neither the association nor its MLS guarantees or is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Data maintained by the association or its MLS may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. The information provided represents the general real estate activity in the community and does not imply that SanibelSusan Realty Associates is participating or participated in these transactions. If your property currently is listed with another broker, this is not intended as a solicitation of that listing.